Governed by: Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of the People's Republic of China
Sponsored by: Northwestern Polytechnical University  Chinese Society Aeronautics and Astronautics
Address: Aviation Building,Youyi Campus, Northwestern Polytechnical University
Prediction of Civil Aircraft Material Consumption Based on Support Vector Machine Regression
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Affiliation:

1.School of Aeronautics,Northwestern Polytechnical University,Xi’an 710072;2.China

Clc Number:

V267

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    Abstract:

    For the perpose of guarantee the normal take-off of aircraft, improve the operating income of airline companies and reduce the cost of aviation material guarantee, to address the problem that it is difficult to forecast aviation material consumption with small sample size and large variation, a time series-based support vector machine regression material consumption forecast model is proposed, and grid search is used to find the optimization of model parameters. Taking the actual consumption data of a domestic civil aircraft as an example, the forecast accuracy of the support vector machine regression method is verified, and the results prove that the method has good adaptability to small sample data and has higher forecast accuracy compared with the exponential smoothing method.

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ZENG Haoran, FENG Yunwen, LU Cheng, PAN Weihuang. Prediction of Civil Aircraft Material Consumption Based on Support Vector Machine Regression[J]. Advances in Aeronautical Science and Engineering,2021,12(5):75-79

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History
  • Received:June 28,2021
  • Revised:October 12,2021
  • Adopted:October 13,2021
  • Online: October 26,2021
  • Published: