Governed by: Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of the People's Republic of China
Sponsored by: Northwestern Polytechnical University  Chinese Society Aeronautics and Astronautics
Address: Aviation Building,Youyi Campus, Northwestern Polytechnical University
GRA-IPSO-SVM based on the demand forecasting of aviation material carrying
Author:
Affiliation:

1.南昌航空大学;2.Caikailong

Clc Number:

V267

Fund Project:

Air-loading key projects (KJ2019A030138)

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    Abstract:

    Accurate prediction of aviation material requirements for off-site missions is one of the main elements of a good trip assurance. To this end, this paper proposes a combination of grey correlation (GRA), improved particle swarm algorithm (IPSO) and support vector machine (SVM) as a method for predicting aviation material. Firstly, GRA is applied to analyse the factors influencing the demand for carriage of aviation materials; secondly, the particle swarm algorithm (IPSO) is improved by introducing activity factors and non-linear inertia coefficients, and the SVM parameters are optimised by IPSO; finally, the optimised SVM model is used to predict the demand for aviation materials. The simulation results show that the GRA-IPSO-SVM method has a 0.16 decrease in RMSE, a 2.18% decrease in MAPE and a 0.7s decrease in prediction time compared with the PSO-SVM method.

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li-huangqi, Caikailong. GRA-IPSO-SVM based on the demand forecasting of aviation material carrying[J]. Advances in Aeronautical Science and Engineering,2022,13(6):166-172

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History
  • Received:December 21,2021
  • Revised:February 20,2022
  • Adopted:February 26,2022
  • Online: September 16,2022
  • Published: